Paper Title :Demand Forecasting of Emergency Resource in Humanitarian Supply Chain

Author :Man Ghasemian Sahebi, Ahmad Jafarnejad

Article Citation :Man Ghasemian Sahebi ,Ahmad Jafarnejad , (2018 ) " Demand Forecasting of Emergency Resource in Humanitarian Supply Chain " , International Journal of Management and Applied Science (IJMAS) , pp. 56-63, Volume-4,Issue-4

Abstract : In the last decades, increasing in human and natural disaster occurrence, had very irreparable effects on human life. In order to relieve the consequences of disasters, improving in accuracy and reliability of the demand forecasting system can be a suitable solution because the demand prediction on emergency resources is the premise and basis of optimal allocation of emergency resources. Nowadays, there are only few researches in this area in Iran and abroad. For this reason, the paper aims at the characteristics of emergency resource demand forecasting in the humanitarian supply chain and presents a method for emergency resource demand prediction using case-based reasoning (CBR). CBR is a recent approach to problem solving and learning that has got a lot of attention over the last few years. In the proposed model, despite a few data, the estimate error is very low, that implies on high accuracy of the model. This prediction method provides a method and model support for the emergency resources allocation decision-making system to be constructed in future. Index Terms - Humanitarian Supply Chain, Emergency Resource, Case-based Reasoning, Demand Forecasting.

Type : Research paper

Published : Volume-4,Issue-4

	|		PDF	|	Viewed - 50	|	Published on 2018-06-23